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Thoughts on Election Night 2009

Good to see the Democrats get a thorough butt-kicking in Virginia!  And Republicans win New Jersey by so much that late night fraud and a team of lawyers can't save it for Corzine!  Very good night!
 
It's too bad that Hoffman lost in NY-23...RNC apparatchiks are a dense lot, and they will learn the wrong lessons from this.  Their beltway minders will tell Michael Steele et. al that this proves that the party needs to move left.  It's utter nonsense, but Steele will believe it.  I'll tell you what the real lesson is.  If you spend 1 million dollars on someone who agrees with you on NOTHING, then quits and endorses the Democrat 3 days before the election, you will lose.  If Democrats want to replicate that strategy nationwide, them try. 
 
What's fascinating with NY-23 is that the "naive ideologues" like Glenn Beck, Rush Limbaugh, and Sarah Palin saw through Dede Scozzafava, and the wise, grisled members of the RNC were completely fooled.  Here's hoping Hoffman is back in 2010, running a 2 person race, as a Republican...
 
In a local race in my hometown of Greeley, Colorado, we had a big time taxpayer revolt.  Our disastrous school district asked for more money for "textbooks, buses and teachers" (shouldn't that be covered with the first $170 million dollars?).  The opposition had less than $1000 dollars against $20,000 in free ads from the local paper, but got 66% of voters to say no!  It's a hard sell, going against the teachers union, the district, the local paper, and the instinctive desire to "support education", but our voters sent a clear message, demanding results first, before the school district bullies get more money in the slush fund.
 
 
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Thoughts on a lousy election night...

1.  Congratulations to Barack Obama.   
I don't agree with him on much, and none of my objections to his presidency have changed...but it is a moment worth pausing to reflect.  Think of the American founders, many of whom saw the evil of slavery, seeing a black man assume the highest office in the land...I'm disappointed tonight in the political choice my fellow Americans have made, but I'm proud that it was a political choice, not a racial one.
 
2.  To My Conservative Friends:  Be Calm.
Remember what we felt and still feel about the Democrats awful treatment of George Bush.  Don't return the favor.  Barack Obama won, he's going to be our President, and we owe him our prayers and best wishes.  His failures will be our failures, and his successes ours.   I want to beat Obama in 4 years, but not at the expense of rooting for America's failure in the meantime.   Hyperbole and name-calling are ineffective, and inappropriate, but very easy to indulge in...we have to fight the temptation.  Don't ever forget how Bush was treated.  And remember that feeling when you are angry with Obama or his supporters.
 
3.  To My Liberal Friends:  Why We Distrust You
Your party is different, more militant, and less moderate than it was in 1992.   Everyone supports the rights of minority when they are in the minority...only those with true character support the rights of the minority when they don't have to.   Barack Obama's campaign, and the Democratic Party at large have shown certain anti-democratic tendencies, kicking McCain supporting reports off the plane, Black Panthers at the polls, Acorn's voter fraud effort.  We will be watching you reaction to anti-speech measures like the Fairness Doctrine.  We will note your vigilance or lack thereof in purging voter fraud, and ensuring clean elections.  We will note Obama's tolerance of dissent and criticism.  Will critics be respected as a 'loyal opposition' or pilloried as 'opponents of change.'   Militancy is almost humerous amongst those without power...its scary when it wields real power.   We hope to see the militancy depart when your side takes over, but doubt that it will.
 
4. Going Forward:  Why did we lose? 
 
2002-2006:
The damage done to our party by the fecklessness and corruption of certain Republicans in 2002-2006 cannot be minimized.   Corrupt and incompentent Republicans have to be purged, no matter how likeable, or nice they be...Corruption kills...its not fair that Democrats get away with more, but we can't control them, we can control our own party.  They dilute our message, ruin our brand, and vaccinate Democrats against very appropriate charges of corruption.
 
Inside the box:
There has been little or no creativity in our party about how to reach voters.   We do what we always have...we run look-alike attack ads with scary grain video, and an ominous narrator...it blends in the background, wastes money at best, and is counter productive at worst.  The next years will offer unprecedented opporrunity to find new ways to reach undecided voters.  We preach about the dynamism of the market, but we run our campaigns like the post office...we do what we have always done, and if we get outspent, we lose.   We need to figure out how to win and persuade without clumsy, ill-conceived advertising.
 
Shaping the battlefield:
20 years ago, this race would have ended, in John McCain's favor, after Obama declared his intention to spread the wealth around.  We can't let liberal Democrats frame the debate for 3 years, and try to eke out a win, on their turf, in the last 2 months.    Wars aren't fought this way, and when they are, its disastrous.  We need to have some Gulf War 1 strategy here...the next 3 years offer an opportunity to frame the debate, on our terms, before the ground war of the election begins.   Show voters that redistribution of wealth is bad now, so that in 4 years Democrats will be laughed out of the room for advocating a 'soak the rich' policy.  Show voters that the free market does health care better than the government, so we don't have ot have a bidding war with Democrats in 4 years over health care policy and medicare expansion.  Frame the debate, and make them campaign on our turf.  For years we have been fighting on their turf, and either losing, or narrowly winning, and only after making liberal-lite promises we either can't or shouldn't keep.
 
5. Finally:  Chin Up
We live in a great country...we still have the most valient and skilled military in the world.  We are still a nation of entreprenours like Joe The Plumber.  The American people are talented, strong, and resilient.
 
Things change...the Democrats were given up for dead after 2004...what a difference 4 years make.  Its fun, and easy, on election night to prognosticate 30 years of politics based on one nights results.  But its not valuable.   Events change, scandals happen, crises happen, succesess happen.  Tonight is about tonight...the future isn't known...don't pretend it is.
 
God is still God.  The sky is still blue.   Life goes on.  Don't let a political defeat ruin you're life.  Politics is deadly serious business, but its not everything.   We conservatives advocate limited government.  Now is the time to live it.   The Government is not the country...the people are the country...in addition to keeping up the fight for our principles, go enjoy being one of the people.
 
 
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Hillary Clinton: Queen Of Narnia?

At risk of losing my Operation Chaos merit badge, I cannot help but note some striking and disturbing similarities between Ms. Clinton, and The White Witch of Narnia.  (And these aren't merely references to pallor and, shall we say, stridency.)
 
1. Both women react with palpable fear and anger at the sight of warming temperatures, and melting glaciers.
2. Both have displayed strong opposition to public Christmas celebrations, particularly religious ones.
3. Children, particularly unborn ones in Hillary's case, are treated with disdain, except when they can be used as pawns for power.
4. Jadis, the White Witch, claims to rule Narnia, but is actually from distant Charn.  Hillary, Senator from New York, really from Arkansas (or Chicago, no one really knows.).
5. Jadis: Destroyed Charn rather than give up power.  Hillary, ready to destroy DNC rather than give up nomination. (Not that we're complaining)
6. Jadis:  Surrounded by loveable, yet ultimately corrupt and incompetent creatures.  Hillary:  Married to Bill.
 
I'm telling you, its Clark Kent and Superman...
 
Reader suggestions or additions?  Thats what comments are for...
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The BCS-ification of politics

Every March, Americans are treated to the excitement that is March Madness. We love the upsets, the fearful way that number 5 seeds enter the court against their 12th seeded opponents, knowing that more money, boosters, a nicer arena and all their other advantages are worthless if they can’t defeat this underdog on the court. There are upsets, surprises, at the end, an undisputed winner.

Every December, Americans are treated to another spectacle. 5 or 6 college football teams will finish with 1 loss (except a small school, who will be undefeated), and all will claim the right to compete in the championship game, based on everthing but their record. Debates will rage about strength of schedule, margin of victory, “quality wins”, and based on these esoterics, reporters and coaches will arbitrarily pick 2 of them to compete for the title. And the title will be anything but undisputed.

Since Florida in 2000, the Democratic party has been bent on turning the March Madness of American politics into a BCS-like fiasco. See, March Madness isn’t very fun if all the pundits and press love you, but you still lose the game.   And Democrats have been doing a lot of losing. In 2000, on the losing end of the only score that mattered, the electoral college, Democrats complained about “the popular vote”, and absurd arguments took place about which states were more important, and confusing ballots, early calls, and all the data except what mattered. Bush won Florida in a squeaker, and thus the 270 electoral votes to be President. In 2004, Democrats complained about Diebold, crowded polls, and Swift Boat Vets. But they lost.   And now we are treated to the Hillary/Obama civil war. Republicans quickly learned that the number 1191 was important. It was 50%+1 of the convention delegates. Win 1191, and you’re the nominee, no questions asked. But our Blue friends are engaged in all their usual BCS scorekeeping. “Sure, Obama’s ahead, but Hillary won California, shouldn’t that count for something?” “I know Michigan and Florida broke the rules, but we have to count those votes, it would be Un-American not to.” “If Hillary wins with superdelegates, that just won’t be right.”

Here’s a novel idea: Win a majority of delegates, win the nomination. If at the end of the election, you determine that the rules don’t suit you, change them for next time.   The Democrats combination of super delegates, open primaries, and proportional awarding of delegates is a mess. But everyone knew the rules in advance.

The Democrats BCS strategy of electoral politics has been a bad thing for the country. It’s with quite a bit of pleasure that I’m watching their party thrown into chaos by these very same tactics.

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